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ECFR

Weekly podcast on the events, policies and ideas that will shape the world.World in 30 minutes is curated by Mark Leonard, Director of the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), and features top-level speakers from across the EU and beyond to debate and discuss Europe’s role in the world. It was awarded “Best podcasts on EU politics” by PolicyLab in 2019.Member of the EuroPod network.

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Mark Leonard's World in 30 Minutes

Given the turbulence across Syria, Lebanon, Gaza, and Iran, conversations at this year’s Doha Forum highlighted a Middle East region, and a world order, in flux. Now the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria and the upcoming Donald Trump administration will shape American relations in the Middle East – and changing regional priorities and dynamics will likely impact the future international order.

This week Mark Leonard welcomes Julien Barnes-Dacey, director of ECFR’s MENA programme, Ellie Geranmayeh, deputy director of ECFR’s MENA programme, and Vali Nasr, Majid Khadduri professor of international affairs and Middle East studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, to discuss the Middle East and changing global dynamics. How might the fall of the Assad regime reshape the region’s political and security landscape? What does the development mean for Syria? And how are regional powers adapting to the uncertainty of the second Trump administration? 

This podcast was recorded on 7 December 2024 

Bookshelf:

Revenge of the Tipping Point by Malcolm Gladwell

In Praise of Hatred by Khaled Khalifa

Why War ? By Richard Overy

 

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Live from the Doha Forum: The Middle East after Assad

As the world becomes increasingly disordered and fragmented, Europe faces mounting geoeconomic challenges on multiple fronts: Russia’s war in Ukraine, China’s ambitions in Taiwan, and the uncertain future of transatlantic relations under Donald Trump. To remain relevant, European policymakers must step up and approach supply chains, trade rules, investment flows, and energy policy as indispensable elements of statecraft.

This week Mark Leonard welcomes Agathe Demarais, ECFR’s geoeconomics lead, and Abraham Newman, professor at the School of Foreign Service and the Department of Government at Georgetown University, and co-author of Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy, to discuss how Europe can overcome its internal dysfunction when it comes to geoeconomics. How can Europe remain relevant in geoeconomics? What are the main obstacles to it doing so? And what risks does Europe face by sticking to business as usual?

 

Bookshelf:

The Nightingale Gallery by Paul Doherty

Europe Must Unlock Its Geoeconomic Power by Agathe Demarais and Abraham Newman

The Other '68ers: Student Protest and Christian Democracy in West Germany by Anna Von Der Goltz

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A fragmented world: Europe’s geoeconomic dilemmas

As Donald Trump’s return to the presidency looms, European leaders are intensifying their diplomatic efforts. Emmanuel Macron has met with Donald Tusk to discuss European troop deployments, while a high-stakes meeting in Brussels with Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky, NATO secretary general Mark Rutte and EU leaders included discussions on potential peacekeeping missions. Europe seems determined to secure Ukraine’s future, offer it meaningful security guarantees, and maintain regional stability.

This week Mark Leonard welcomes Camille Grand, distinguished policy fellow at ECFR and former assistant secretary general for defence investment at NATO, Jana Kobsova, visiting fellow at ECFR and foreign policy advisor to Slovak president Zuzana Caputová, and Nicu Popescu, former Moldova foreign minister and distinguished policy fellow at ECFR, to discuss the ongoing negotiations. Which different scenarios are being discussed? What stage are these discussions at? Can Europeans help to shore up Ukraine at this critical stage—and, crucially, can the EU provide it with long-term security guarantees?

 

Bookshelf:

The Anatomy of a Moment: Thirty-Five Minutes in History and Imagination by Javier Cercas

Faustian Bargain: The Soviet-German Partnership and the Origins of the Second World War by Ian Ona Johnson

Talks with T. G. Masaryk by Karel Čapek

How to Talk About Books You Haven't Read by Pierre Bayard

 

This podcast was recorded on 18 December 2024

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Forging peace: Europe’s role in Ukraine’s future

2024 was a year of intense geopolitical shifts and growing uncertainty. But one thing remains consistent: ECFR’s ever-popular predictions podcast. In our first outing for 2025, Mark Leonard and ECFR research director Jeremy Shapiro team up to reflect on the accuracy of last year’s predictions—and, with crystal balls in hand, try to decipher which forces will shape 2025. Is this the year they finally achieve 10/10?

Let us know if you think they missed something! Write your own predictions in to Mark via mark.leonard@ecfr.eu.

Bookshelf:

A Nasty Little War: The West's Fight to Reverse the Russian Revolution by Anna Reid

Regime Change: Toward a Postliberal Future by Patrick J. Deneen

2024: The year we embrace predictable surprise by Mark Leonard and Jeremy Shapiro 

This podcast was recorded on 27 December 2024

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Ten foreign policy predictions for 2025

On 1 January, Poland assumed presidency of the EU Council. But it steps into the spotlight during a period of seismic geopolitical shifts. With the war in Ukraine raging and Donald Trump’s imminent return to power, Poland faces immense pressure to lead while navigating Europe’s complex security landscape.

This week Mark Leonard welcomes Joanna Bekker, deputy managing director at leading Polish think-tank Polityka Insight, Piotr Buras, head of ECFR’s Warsaw office, and Marta Prochwicz Jazowska, deputy head of ECFR’s Warsaw office, to discuss Poland’s presidency of the EU Council. What does its motto of “security” mean for Europe in practice? Will the upcoming Polish presidential election impact its direction? And, with France and Germany missing in action, can Poland seize the moment to assume greater leadership in Europe?

 

Bookshelf:

Smart Brevity: The Power of Saying More with Less by Jim VandeHei, Mike Allen, and Roy Schwartz

Kaput: The End of the German Miracle by Wolfgang Münchau

Sophie’s World by Jostein Gaarder

 

This podcast was recorded on 8 January 2025

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Poland’s presidency: A new European leadership

Russia's annexation of Crimea and the invasion of Eastern Ukraine turned EU-Russia relations from problematic into an urgent strategic problem. Kadri Liik, ECFR senior policy fellow and author of the 1st chapter called Russia from our European foreign policy publication Scorecard 2015, speaks about last year's challenges and what the EU could have done better.

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European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2015 - Kadri Liik on Chapter 1: Russia

Thomas Wright, author of Chapter 2 from the European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2015, talks about US-EU relations last year and their convergence towards the end of the year.

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European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2015 - Thomas Wright on Chapter 2: United States

Vessela Tcherneva, ECFR's director of the Wider Europe programme, gives her analysis on the EU's performance upon dealing with the western Balkans in 2014 and discusses which challenges the relations with Turkey and Bosnia will pose this year.

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European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2015 - Vessela Tcherneva on Chapter 3: Wider Europe

Susi Dennison, Senior Policy Fellow and expert on the MENA region, explains the EU's performance in the Middle East and North Africa in 2014, and the need for a new strategy.

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European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2015 - Susi Dennison on Chapter 4: MENA

Francois Godement, director of ECFR’s China and Asia Programme, talks about the expansion of relations between the EU and Asia in 2014 through the EU’s confirmation of a free trade pact negotiation with Japan, and an agreement on joint action involving global security, along with the participation in peacekeeping efforts with South Korea.

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European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2015 - Francois Godement on Chapter 5: China and Asia

Whilst China's defence budget this year is rising at its slowest pace since 2010, the reform of the People's Liberation Army is in full swing. Jérôme Doyon, ECFR Associate Fellow and editor of China Analysis, explains the key drivers to the reform, and its implications on Chinese defence.You can find the publication 'Xi’s army: Reform and loyalty in the PLA' here: http://www.ecfr.eu/publications/summary/xis_army_reform_and_loyalty_in_the_pla6055Picture: Flickr/lafayette1

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ECFR Clips: Xi’s army - reform and loyalty in the PLA

ECFR Clips: Xi’s army - reform and loyalty in the PLA

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